In my 4.5 years of doing these picks, I don't think I've witne sed as brutal of a week as Week 7 in the was. Not Myles Garrett Jersey just for me, but seemingly everyone. The upset the , the throttled the and the upset the . It was unbelievable.There's nowhere to go but up at this point. Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 14-19-2Overall ATS record: 45-58-3Straight up record: 60-46Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)The Titans are 1-4 over the last two years when does not start, and due to his ankle injury, it doesn't appear he will be on the field Sunday. So, in steps and , who have to take on the No. 3 defense in the behind a subpar offensive line. It's true that has turned the ball over nine times in the last four games, but the Titans just shipped a defensive leader in to the . I'm expecting a low-scoring affair, but the Titans have lost 10 straight games vs. teams entering with a .500 or better record. That's the longest active streak in the !The Titans are rumored to be sellers at the trade deadline. This could be the final game for and/or in Tenne see. It's a shame I have the Titans losing this game while they wear the sexiest throwback uniforms in existence. But I would be surprised to see Atlanta drop this one.The pick:Falcons -2.5Projected score:Falcons 20-16Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,) has been frustrated as of late, ran into some trouble off the field for driving too fast and the Saints have won just one of their last five games. Now, they travel to Indy to take on a team that dropped 456 yards of total offense and 38 points on the best defense in the NFL last week. By the way, New Orleans averages just 19 points per game. Now, hasn't been consistent and the Colts defense doesn't exactly rival Chris Hubbard Jersey the '85 , but I liked watching explode for 125 yards and a touchdown last week, and have his breakout performance this season with 120 scrimmage yards and a touchdown.Saints backers will point to their stingy defense, but New Orleans is 1-5-1 ATS on the year while Indy is 4-3 ATS.The pick:Colts +1Projected score:Colts 24-20Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,)The Cowboys are coming off of their bye week, while the Rams are coming off of a deflating lo s to the . Dallas is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games following a bye. The Cowboys are also 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, and have outscored opponents 68-13 in their two games in Dallas this season. The Rams are a very solid team, but I'm going to take the well-rested squad that's great Jim Brown Jersey at home. has lost his last four starts vs. the Cowboys, and turned the ball over eight times in those matchups.The pick:Cowboys -6Projected score:Cowboys 26-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,)I feel like many are picking this spot for the Panthers to cover their first game of the season. has certainly shown some improvement as of late, but just because Frank Reich gave up play-calling duties doesn't mean the rookie is automatically going to take a ma sive jump.This is the fifth matchup between rookie quarterbacks drafted 1-2 in the common draft era. The quarterback selected first is 1-3 in those matchups. Stroud is currently the heavy favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, and I bet he wants to show the Panthers what they're mi sing out on. Stroud averages 276.7 pa sing yards per game (No. 4 in the NFL), and has thrown nine touchdowns compared to one interception. The Ohio State product also has thrown a touchdown on third down in five straight games, Ray-Ray Armstrong Jersey which is the longest streak by any rookie since at least 1991.Maybe the other experts are onto something, but Houston is 4-2 ATS while Carolina is 0-5-1.The pick:Texans -3Projected score:Texans 23-16Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN, )The Lions were terrible last week. They went to Baltimore and got down 28-0 before anyone could even blink. It tied the largest halftime deficit in NFL history by a team with the best record in the league this late in a season. I'm fine with this being a throwaway game, but I still have questions about this secondary. Maybe the Lions needed this slap in the face. Now, they return to their fans in prime time to take on a team averaging 16 points per game. The Raiders are the only team in the NFL that hasn't scored more than 21 points in a game this season! Last week, I made them a best bet to defeat a D-II quarterback making his first Sheldrick Redwine Jersey career start, and clearly that was a mistake. I'll take the Lions to cover the big number.The pick:Lions -8Projected score:Lions 30-14Bills (-9) 27-14 over 28-20 over Patriots (+9) (-3) 23-18 over Vikings (PICK) 24-23 over Eagles 26-21 over (+6.5)Steelers (+2.5) 16-13 over (-3.5) 24-18 over Ravens (-8.5) 31-10 over (-7) 28-20 over 49ers 23-20 over (+3.5) (-8.5) 35-24 over Bears